03 FEBRUARY 2025

Overview of the macro environment of China's consumer market

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Markets: The economy shows resilience, and still has long-term positive fundamentals

China’s GDP growth has fluctuated since 2019, with a low point in 2020. However, the overall economy continues to improve, exceeding the 120 trillion yuan mark by 2022. The Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index shows gradual economic prosperity in 2021, indicating resilience and potential for further consumer market expansion.

Markets: Consumer markets show signs of recovery; the pace expected to accelerate

Consumption has been a key driver of China’s economic growth and recovery post-epidemic. Residents’ disposable income is growing, and the middle-income group is expanding. By 2022, pent-up demand will accelerate consumption recovery, with offline consumption scenarios resuming in dining out, shopping, travel, and entertainment, demonstrating the resilience of China’s consumer market.

The offline consumption scene has huge potential for recovery.

  • In January and February 2023, nationwide catering revenue increased by 9.2% year-on-year.
  • In January and February 2023, the retail sales of supermarkets, convenience stores, specialty stores, and general stores among units with a turnover above the quota increased by 2.3%, 10.0%, 3.6%, and 5.5%, respectively, year-on-year.
  • Large-scale concerts and music festivals have been gradually scheduled, and from the second quarter onwards, concerts and music festivals will enter a relatively intensive period.
  • During the 2023 New Year holiday, there were 52.7134 million domestic tourists nationwide, an increase of 0.44% year-on-year, and according to comparable calibers, it recovered to 42.8% of the same period during the New Year holiday in 2019.
  • Baidu Index shows that since the end of 2022, the search index for “traveling” has been about three times that of the epidemic period (2020-2022).

National policy: ignite the spark of innovation and fully unleash consumption vitality.

Regional departments are implementing innovative measures to boost economic growth. The national government has issued policies to promote consumption and expand domestic demand, while local governments stimulate consumption through vouchers, festivals, and online/offline integration. Since 2023, domestic consumption recovery has accelerated, with the government prioritizing restoration and expansion. Local cultural and tourism authorities are attracting consumers to travel and spend, driving local economic development.

The key focus of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) in 2023 will be to boost consumer confidence.

  • The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is implementing policies to restore and expand consumption, focusing on stabilizing bulk, enhancing service, and expanding rural consumption, while researching effective strategies.
  • Optimizing employment and income mechanisms, strengthening policies, improving income distribution, and increasing residents’ income is crucial for enhancing consumption ability and willingness, reducing future concerns.
  • Promoting green consumption, supporting consumption in key areas like housing, energy vehicles, education, healthcare, culture, and sports, and encouraging the development of new consumption formats and scenarios.

 

2023 Cultural and Tourism rolls out new styles across the region, reaping rave reviews from tourists

  • eating barbecue in Zibo
  • Xi’an Huimin Street installs fair scales
  • Many places collaborate with well-known bubble tea IPs

 

National policy: Elevate quality standards, and continuously optimize the consumption environment.

China is improving its market supervision regulations to provide consumers with higher-quality products and services. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council have issued policies to enhance product inspections, strengthen consumer rights, upgrade goods quality, and innovate service models. These efforts aim to meet diverse consumer needs and expand the consumption market.

Social guidance: Emphasizing both popular science and rights protection, comprehensively boosting consumer confidence.

The China Consumers Association (CCA) is a social organization that educates consumers on rational consumption and promotes consumer rights. It releases visual content and promotes the 12315 platform, a complaint mechanism, and a complaint mechanism to address negative experiences. The CCA aims to protect consumers’ rights and boost consumer confidence in consumption.

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